And now?

What may happen next to the pandemic H1N1 virus?
The following scenarios should be considered:

  • re-appearance annually as a seasonal influenza virus
  • co-circulation with human seasonal and avian influenza viruses (e.g. H5N1) may lead to reassortment between any of these viruses 
  • change of virulence through mutation or reassortment
  • acquisition of antiviral resistance through mutation or reassortment
  • introduction of a novel pandemic virus from the animal world